AbstractsGeography &GIS

Future changes in extreme events in Mozambique as simulated using the PRECIS regional climate modeling system

by Izidine S. de Sousa. Pinto




Institution: University of Cape Town
Department:
Degree: MS
Year: 2011
Keywords: Environmental and Geographical Science
Record ID: 1473780
Full text PDF: http://hdl.handle.net/11180/2232


Abstract

Future climate change is generally believed to lead to an increase in climate variability and inthe frequency and intensity of extreme events. Mozambique is well known for its occurrenceof severe weather and extreme climate events such as floods, tropical cyclones and droughts.Such events have serious impacts on the livelihoods of most people who often rely on subsistenceagriculture.This dissertation explores possible changes in extremes in temperature and precipitation overMozambique, based on high-resolution (25 km) simulations of the regional climate modelsystem PRECIS (HadRM3P), forced by the ECHAM4 global mode.